Knicks vs. Heat prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 26 best bets from model on 56-30 run

The Miami Heat welcome the New York Knicks to town for a high-profile Eastern Conference showdown on Wednesday evening. Miami is 7-2 in its last nine games, improving to 30-17 overall, and the Heat are 16-5 in home games. New York is 11-11 on the road and 23-25 overall this season. The Heat have dominated this series in recent years, winning eight of the last 10 meetings against New York. 

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Heat as 5.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 204 in the latest Knicks vs. Heat odds. Before you make any Heat vs. Knicks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 58-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Heat and locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Heat vs. Knicks:

  • Knicks vs. Heat spread: Heat -5.5
  • Knicks vs. Heat over-under: 204 points
  • Knicks vs. Heat money line: Heat -230, Knicks +190
  • NYK: The Knicks are 12-10 against the spread in road games
  • MIA: The Heat are 13-8 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks

Why the Knicks can cover

New York is a defense-first team, but the offense has strong areas. The Knicks are good on the offensive glass, securing 28.7 percent of missed shots, and that leads to 14.3 second-chance points per game. New York also ranks in the top 10 in 3-pointers per game (13.0), 3-point accuracy (35.8 percent) and turnovers (13.5 per game). Miami is No. 30 in the NBA in blocked shots on defense, with a bottom-five mark in 3-pointers allowed. 

On the opposite end, the Knicks are holding opponents to 1.09 points per possession, with top-five marks in field goal percentage allowed (44.0 percent), second-chance points allowed (11.9 per game) and points in the paint allowed (41.5 per game). New York is in the top 10 in free throw attempts allowed (20.6 per game) and defensive rebound rate (73.4 percent), with the Knicks holding opponents to just 11.3 fast break points per game.

Why the Heat can cover

Miami’s defense is excellent this season. The Heat are allowing 107.7 points per 100 possessions, a top-eight figure in the NBA, and Miami leads the league in points allowed in the paint at only 39.2 per game. Miami is also in the top five of the league in turnovers created, forcing 15.4 giveaways per game, and the Heat are securing more than 74 percent of available defensive rebounds. 

Miami is in the top eight in second-chance points, giving up 12.4 per game, and the Heat are above-average in field goal percentage allowed (44.3 percent) and assists allowed (23.3 per game). New York is No. 26 in the NBA in field goal percentage on offense, with the Knicks ranking second-worst in the league in producing assists this season.

How to make Heat vs. Knicks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 209 total points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Knicks vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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