NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket: Simulation predicts surprising upsets, March Madness picks, top sleepers

The Big Ten was a winner on Selection Sunday, as the conference landed nine teams in the 2022 NCAA Tournament. That’s three more than any other conference, as the Big Ten is seeking its first national champion since Michigan State in 2000. Purdue and Wisconsin stand the best chances of cutting down the nets at the end of the March Madness 2022 bracket as No. 3 seeds, while Big Ten tournament champion Iowa secured a No. 5 seed.

The South region of the 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket may present the conference’s best chance at sending a team to the Final Four since three Big Ten schools will compete in that quadrant. Illinois, Ohio State and Michigan will battle it out and would not face each other until the Sweet Sixteen at the earliest. Before you make your 2022 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s advanced computer model absolutely crushed its March Madness picks last tournament, beating over 92 percent of all CBS Sports brackets for the second time in three years. The model also nailed a whopping three teams in the Final Four last year.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 17 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets last tournament, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor, and hit Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed. Getting those picks right could literally make or break your March Madness bracket.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2022 March Madness bracket upset picks

One team set to pull off a shocking upset in 2022 March Madness brackets: No. 9 Memphis defeats No. 8 Boise State in the West region. Boise cruised to a 27-7 record, but didn’t have the highest level of competition. It lost its only matchup versus a ranked opponent, and that team, St. Bonaventure, didn’t end up making the NCAA Tournament bracket 2022.

Memphis was tested and played four ranked teams, posting a 3-1 record in those contests. The Tigers found their footing as the season progressed, as eight of their last 11 wins were by double-digits. They also have a defensive force down low in Jalen Duren, who led the AAC in rebounds and blocks. He should be a difference-maker in the paint versus a Boise team that doesn’t take many three-pointers and is the worst free throw shooting team in the NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket.

Another huge curveball in the West Region: No. 10 Davidson upsets No. 7 Michigan State. Michigan State started off hot but has fizzled down the stretch, losing eight of its last 13 games. It also struggled all year against top competition and owns a 4-8 record against the Top 25. Davidson had just one game against a ranked team, but it was impressive in that contest with a neutral-site victory over No. 10 Alabama.

The Wildcats have an extremely versatile and balanced offense, as four players average in double-figures and all four knock down at least 38 percent of their three-pointers. As a team, Davidson ranks among the top 12 in the nation in both three-point percentage and turnovers committed, both of which are key metrics for March Madness 2022 success. Davidson also has an intangible in its favor in that the game takes place in South Carolina, less than a two-hour drive from Davidson’s campus. The model recognizes all of the advantages Davidson has and has the Wildcats winning in over 50 percent of simulations.

How to make 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

SportsLine’s model also says a No. 11 seed and a No. 5 seed make the Final Four. It also tells you which No. 12 and No. 10 seeds are a must-back. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket. With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it is calling this year before locking in any NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket? And which underdogs will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine here to see which No. 11 and No. 5 seeds make the Final Four, plus which 12- and 10-seeds are a must-back, all from the model that’s nailed 17 double-digit seed upsets in the first round.

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